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2025年9月15日 星期一

Brain Drain Tariff: Reclaiming India's Lost Wealth

 

A Proposal for a Brain Drain Tariff: Reclaiming India's Lost Wealth

India has long been a source of highly skilled professionals who migrate to the United States for better opportunities, a phenomenon commonly known as brain drain. While this migration has been a boon for the U.S. economy, it represents a significant, uncompensated loss for India. This paper argues that India should consider imposing a brain drain tariff on the United States to recover a portion of the investment made in educating these professionals and to acknowledge the economic and intellectual value that has been transferred.



The Uncompensated Investment

India's public education system, from its prestigious Indian Institutes of Technology (IITs) to its medical colleges, invests billions of dollars in nurturing talent. The cost of a medical degree or an engineering degree, when subsidized by the government, is a societal investment. When a graduate leaves, their departure represents a direct transfer of this investment to the destination country. For decades, the U.S. has been the primary beneficiary of this transfer, gaining a highly skilled workforce without bearing the initial costs of their education and upbringing. This uncompensated transfer of human capital creates an unfair economic imbalance.


Quantifying the Loss: A Snapshot of Indian Talent in the USA

The scale of this migration is staggering, especially in key sectors. The following numbers provide a glimpse into the depth of India's talent export to the U.S.:

  • Physicians and Surgeons: Indian-origin physicians make up a substantial portion of the U.S. healthcare system. The American Association of Physicians of Indian Origin (AAPI) estimates that over 80,000 physicians of Indian descent are practicing in the U.S., accounting for at least 8.5% of the total physician population. India provides the largest number of International Medical Graduates to the U.S.

  • Scientists and PhDs: A 2017 report by the U.S.-based Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET) found that a significant majority of Indian nationals who complete a STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics) Ph.D. in the U.S. choose to stay. Between 2000 and 2015, over 28,000 Indian nationals earned STEM Ph.D.s from U.S. universities, accounting for nearly 16% of all international graduates.

  • C-level Executives and Innovators: The tech industry, in particular, has seen a remarkable ascent of Indian-origin leaders. Icons like Sundar Pichai (Google/Alphabet), Satya Nadella (Microsoft), and Shantanu Narayen (Adobe) are just a few examples of Indian-born individuals who now lead some of the world's most valuable companies. Their leadership has generated trillions of dollars in market capitalization and driven global innovation, with the U.S. reaping the primary economic rewards.

These individuals are not just employees; they are innovators, leaders, and entrepreneurs who create jobs, file patents, and contribute disproportionately to the U.S. economy. The value of their lifetime earnings, tax contributions, and intellectual property generated is immense—wealth that was cultivated in India and is now enriching another nation.


The Case for a Tariff

While a direct tax on individuals is impractical and politically complex, a "brain drain tariff" could be conceptualized as an economic tool to address this imbalance. Instead of taxing the people, the tariff would be a charge levied on the U.S. government or corporations that hire a certain number of Indian professionals. This would function like a royalty payment for the intellectual and human capital gained. The revenue generated could be used to:

  • Fund Indian Research and Development: The money could be reinvested in Indian research institutes, universities, and laboratories to improve infrastructure and create more opportunities for domestic talent.

  • Improve Social Infrastructure: Funds could be used to enhance healthcare, education, and other public services in India, improving the quality of life and making the country a more attractive place to stay for its skilled workforce.

  • Provide Reverse Migration Incentives: A portion of the funds could create repatriation programs, offering attractive grants, research funding, and high-paying jobs to encourage Indian professionals to return and contribute their expertise back home.

This proposal is not meant to be a punishment but a recognition of a clear economic exchange. It would force the U.S. to acknowledge the true cost of the talent it imports and provide a mechanism for India to be compensated for its investment. By establishing this claim, India can start a global conversation about the economic fairness of talent migration and protect its long-term interests.


2025年6月6日 星期五

Echoes of Wisdom: Kissinger and Brzezinski on the Harvard Foreign Student Issue

 In the corridors of history, two titans of American foreign policy—Dr. Henry Kissinger and Professor Zbigniew Brzezinski—"reunite" in a hypothetical conversation, as they contemplate the complex situation facing foreign students in American higher education, particularly at Harvard University.

Kissinger: (Clears throat, voice calm) Zbig, you see, this controversy at Harvard regarding foreign students, especially those young people from the great Eastern power, seems to have become a new front in the strategic competition between Washington and Beijing. The balance between academic freedom and national security has always been a subtle art, not a science.

Brzezinski: (Voice slightly hoarse, tone sharper) Henry, you and I know well that no geopolitical chessboard is confined to borders and military might. The exchange of ideas, the dissemination of technology, and even potential influence penetration have always been part of great power rivalry. America's spirit of openness is certainly commendable, but if it leads to a loss of vigilance, it places itself in danger. I have warned many times that if we fail to understand the nature of the challenge, arrogance and carelessness will be our greatest enemies.

Kissinger: Indeed, national interest is the highest principle. We cannot ignore the possibility of certain countries exploiting academic channels to acquire sensitive technologies or conduct intelligence activities. However, America's strength lies not only in its military power but also in its ability to attract top talent globally. If we tighten too much and push these potential allies and thinkers elsewhere, it will, in the long run, damage our soft power. Diplomacy is always about seeking the best balance among contradictory options.

Brzezinski: Balance is important, but the bottom line must be clear. We cannot allow so-called "academic freedom" to become a cover for certain regimes to engage in intellectual property theft or influence operations. During the Cold War, we had specific regulations for Soviet students. Today's China, in some respects, with its geopolitical ambitions and ideological control, surpasses the Soviet Union of yesteryear. We should attract students who genuinely embrace the values of freedom and democracy, rather than providing convenience for potential adversaries.

Kissinger: But that also raises another question: how do we define "potential adversary"? Too broad a definition could lead us to create enemies among potential collaborators. Globalization has tightly connected the world, and even if we close our doors, the flow of knowledge will not stop. More importantly, allowing these young people to experience American society and values firsthand is itself a long-term strategic investment. Who can say that, years from now, these elites who have personally experienced America's openness and vitality will not become forces of understanding, or even affinity, towards us in their own countries?

Brzezinski: Of course, the long-term impact of education cannot be underestimated. But at the same time, we must soberly recognize that these elites from specific backgrounds, their upbringing and thinking patterns, may differ from our expectations. We cannot rely solely on wishful "soft power persuasion" to build national security. What is important is that we must possess the ability to identify potential risks and take decisive action when necessary. The formulation of rules should be precise and specific, avoiding generalized strikes, and absolutely not allowing for vague gray areas.

Kissinger: Ultimately, it boils down to whether we have a clear national strategy. If we know where we are going and how to deal with different powers, then the policy towards foreign students is just one piece on this grand chessboard. Without an overarching plan, any isolated adjustment might gain one thing only to lose another, or even backfire. History never stops; complexity is its norm, and a clear strategy is the only way to navigate chaos.

Brzezinski: (Sighs softly) Yes, a clear strategy. That seems to be the rarest commodity in our era. In a world consumed by short-termism and domestic political considerations, contemplating a truly grand strategy and consistently executing it is far more difficult than it was in our time. The issue of foreign students at Harvard is but the tip of the iceberg, reflecting deeper strategic dilemmas.



Brief Biographies and Harvard Connections:

  • Henry Kissinger (1923-2023): A German-born American diplomat, political scientist, and geopolitical consultant who served as United States Secretary of State and National Security Advisor under Presidents Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford. He was a central figure in U.S. foreign policy during the Cold War, pioneering the policy of détente with the Soviet Union and opening relations with China.

    • Harvard Connection: Kissinger earned his A.B., M.A., and Ph.D. degrees from Harvard University. He then joined the Harvard faculty, where he taught in the Department of Government and at the Center for International Affairs for many years before entering government service.
  • Zbigniew Brzezinski (1928-2017): A Polish-American diplomat and political scientist who served as a counselor to President Lyndon B. Johnson and as the National Security Advisor to President Jimmy Carter. He was a prominent strategist who emphasized the importance of geopolitical advantage and was known for his hawkish stance on the Soviet Union.

    • Harvard Connection: Brzezinski received his Ph.D. from Harvard University in 1953 and was a member of the faculty there from 1953 to 1960. He taught Soviet and international politics, establishing himself as a significant figure in Cold War studies.