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2026年2月20日 星期五

When the Future Is Uncertain: How Political Instability Drives “Brain Drain” to Stable Countries

 When the Future Is Uncertain: How Political Instability Drives “Brain Drain” to Stable Countries


A country with an uncertain future does not just lose investment and confidence; it loses people—especially the most talented. This “brain drain” is a quiet but decisive competitive edge that many policymakers forget: when politics, security, or the rule of law feel fragile, families with options choose to send their children to more stable places. The story of NVIDIA’s CEO, Jensen Huang, offers a vivid example of how political instability can push human capital abroad—often before the country even realises what it has lost.

Huang was born in Taiwan and spent part of his childhood in Thailand, where his father worked as a chemical and instrumentation engineer helping to build an oil refinery. Around 1973–1974, the family moved to Bangkok, but the political climate soon shaped their long‑term plans. In a December 2025 interview on The Joe Rogan Experience, Huang recalled that Thailand’s repeated military coups and soldiers on the streets made his parents uneasy about the country’s safety and stability. “You know, in Thailand there are coups all the time,” he said. “Soldiers rise up, and then one day there are tanks and troops out on the streets.”

At the time, Huang was nine years old and his older brother nearly eleven. Concerned that Thailand might not be a secure environment for their children’s future, their parents decided to send the boys to live with relatives in Tacoma, Washington—people they had never met in person. From there, Huang attended school in the United States, eventually rising to lead one of the world’s most influential technology companies. His trajectory is not just a personal success story; it is also a case study in how political uncertainty can quietly export a country’s future innovators.

When a nation appears unstable—whether through coups, chronic political crises, or weak institutions—parents and young professionals start to ask: Where will my children be safe? Where can they build a career without constant disruption? Countries that answer those questions poorly do not lose only students or temporary workers; they lose entire generations of potential entrepreneurs, scientists, and engineers. Thailand, for instance, has seen a visible rise in emigration, particularly among young, educated Thais who join online communities such as “Let’s Move Abroad,” which once grew to over half a million members in just four days before being shut down. Similar patterns can be seen in other politically volatile countries, where talented individuals quietly relocate to the United States, Canada, Australia, or Western Europe.

The economic cost of this brain drain is often underestimated. A single person like Jensen Huang may seem like one outlier, but multiplied across thousands of families, the effect becomes structural: the country that feels unstable ends up subsidising the innovation and tax base of more stable ones. Stable countries, in turn, gain not only skilled workers but also global networks, diaspora investment, and cultural soft power. Over time, this creates a self‑reinforcing gap: the more unstable a country feels, the more talent leaves; the more talent leaves, the harder it becomes to fix the underlying problems.

For any nation worried about its long‑term competitiveness, political and social stability is not just a governance issue; it is an economic and demographic one. A clear, predictable future is itself a competitive advantage—one that keeps brains at home instead of sending them abroad in search of safety and opportunity.