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2026年8月4日 星期二

The Bull Market Lobotomy: Why Human Greed is the Only Infinite Resource

 

The Bull Market Lobotomy: Why Human Greed is the Only Infinite Resource

Humanity has spent centuries inventing sophisticated financial instruments, central banks, and regulatory bodies, all under the comforting illusion that we have civilized the capitalist beast. Yet, whenever asset prices start climbing, our sophisticated neo-cortex instantly shuts down, replaced by the primal, drooling panic of a caveman spotting a mammoth.

We love to believe that modern investors are rational actors guided by cool calculation. But the moment the stock market or the housing bubble starts surging, a collective lobotomy sweeps across the population. People don't just invest; they lose their minds. They hurl their life savings into the abyss and borrow money at astronomical rates, utterly convinced that this time, the laws of gravity have been permanently repealed by divine intervention.

Look back at the wreckage of history, and you will see the exact same tragicomic script playing out generation after generation. Take Hong Kong in 1973: a delirious stock mania that left corpses financially strewn everywhere as the Hang Seng Index plummeted from an absurd 1,700 points down to a miserable 150. Fast forward to 1996, when the entire city convinced itself that property prices only went up. Even civil servants joined the feeding frenzy, playing the dangerous game of flipping multiple flats simultaneously while leveraging their government salaries to the hilt. Then came the 2000 dot-com bloodbath, followed neatly by the 2008 global financial tsunami.

Every single time, some invisible, intoxicating force pumps the market until ordinary people are dizzy with greed, terrified that if they don't mortgage their souls right now, they are absolute fools.

This is the dark, cyclical comedy of human behavior. We are evolutionary wired to chase herds off cliffs if everyone else is running fast enough. Greed isn’t just a sin; it’s a neurological glitch. The market doesn't crash because of bad math; it crashes because human beings are terminally incapable of resisting the smell of easy money. Until we evolve past our inner primates, the grand casino will always keep its doors open, waiting for the next generation of wide-eyed optimists ready to hand over their wallets.



2026年4月24日 星期五

The Great Delusion of 1973: When the "Human Zoo" Went Mad for Paper

 

The Great Delusion of 1973: When the "Human Zoo" Went Mad for Paper

In the evolutionary history of the "Naked Ape," the 1973 Hong Kong stock market crash remains a masterpiece of collective hysteria. It was a time when the biological drive for "acquisition" completely overrode the rational capacity for "survival." As the Hang Seng Index ballooned from 300 to nearly 1,800 points, the citizens of Hong Kong turned the city into a sprawling casino.

Desmond Morris would recognize this behavior instantly. In a crowded "Human Zoo" like Hong Kong, status is often tied to resource accumulation. When people saw their neighbors getting rich overnight on "mosquito stocks" (low-value, speculative shares), the primal fear of "falling behind the tribe" took over. This led to the "Apocalyptic Vision" described: families pulling children out of school to wait in the sweltering heat just to hand over their life savings for a piece of paper. The "queue" became the altar of a new religion, where the god was a rising green line on a chalkboard.

Historically, this follows the pattern of the Dutch Tulip Mania or the South Sea Bubble. The darker side of human nature is our susceptibility to "Positive Feedback Loops"—the more people buy, the more the price rises, which convinces more people to buy. By the time the crash hit in March 1973, sparked by the discovery of fake share certificates, the "Apes" had climbed so high into the canopy that the fall was lethal. The index plummeted 90% in a year. The "mosquito stocks" didn't just drop; they evaporated, leaving a generation of Hong Kongers with a permanent, cynical scar regarding the "free market."